SCSC2003 Abstract S11524
Sea-Based Missile Defense System Effectiveness Analysis
Sea-Based Missile Defense System Effectiveness Analysis
Submitting Author: Mr. Joe Uzdzinski
Abstract:
The modeling and operations analysis (MOA) group at Lockheed Martin, Naval Electronics and Surveillance Systems - Surface Systems (NE&SS-SS), has conducted system-level effectiveness analysis to evaluate sea-based system options in support of the overall missile defense mission. This analysis has been used to support multiple levels and applications including System-of-systems (SoS) analysis, force-level CONOPS and requirements analysis, engineering design, and ultimately flight test support. To conduct this analysis, a family of models and simulations has been applied through an "end-to-end" process. The purpose of these analyses was to determine the effect of sensor, interceptor, and C2 capability on the operational effectiveness of a forward deployed Aegis ship or ships. The overall missile defense mission focusses on detecting, tracking, and intercepting strategic ballistic missiles in all phases of flight against world wide regions of threat launch areas in providing ho
meland and regional defense. The missile defense mission involves several components: space-, sea-, and ground-based elements as well as a supporting BMC3 infrastructure. As we consider the interoperability of these system elements and the fact that these systems are in different stages of development and testing, the use of modeling, simulation, and analysis is the only cost-effective means of evaluating and assessing system performance. In fact, flight testing at the System of systems level is often prohibitively expensive if not possible. System performance includes such measures of effectiveness (MOEs) as operating area, launch denial area, and defended regions. These MOEs are determined as a function of sensor coverage and detection range for available/planned space-, sea-, and ground-based sensors, interceptor performance, and number of assets needed. This paper is an overview of the methodology, process, application of M&S, and insights that were gained in conducting
the analysis
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